1. Check the 2023 Stage48 Member Ranking Results, how did your Oshimen rank this year?

2018 Senbatsu Election Predictions/Hopes/Dreams & Etc

Discussion in 'General AKB48 Discussion' started by x_AozoraKataomoi_x, Dec 13, 2017.

  1. sakurappu

    sakurappu Next Girls

    Joined:
    Mar 23, 2015
    Location:
    Chaldea
    Oshimen:
    idol!Sayaka ✈️ singer!Sayaka
    Twitter:
    sakurappu_
    So, my prediction for Top 7 preliminary result (based of YT views, previous year results, how decidated fans are, and some 'revenge'):
    1. Cherpang
    2. Ogiyuka
    3. Jurina
    4. Sakura
    5. Tomu
    6. Akarin/Naachan
    7. Music
    I placed Cherpang to #1 because tbh, we don't know about local BNK fans power. Sure, she has the most YT views but everyone said because Thai people love free stuff. But I believe either her and Music have chaebol (the heir of conglomerate family) Thai wota so maybe we will see Ogiyuka 2.0

    And my dream Top 7 preliminary result are:
    1. Hana-chan :awesome:
    2. Ogiyuka
    3. Cherpang
    4. Jurina
    5. Sakura
    6. Tomu
    7. Naachan/Music
     
    • Disagree Disagree x 4
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  2. CrssA

    CrssA Upcoming Girls

    Joined:
    Jun 1, 2016
    Location:
    Tokyo
    Oshimen:
    Nishino Nanase
    tomorrow prelim result will still be ngt fiesta , ogiyuka - hinatan - sakura - jurina - moeka on top 5 ( cant predict who's 1 until 5 btw ) . followed by nana and dasu. rikahime can probably amazed everyone by ranking on senbatsu area.

    and no BNK girls can got rank in real SSK. mark my words
     
    Last edited: May 29, 2018
  3. wetpantsu

    wetpantsu Upcoming Girls

    Joined:
    Oct 16, 2017
    I'd love to see you wrong.
     
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  4. Seinacchi

    Seinacchi Kenkyuusei

    Joined:
    May 5, 2017
    Oshimen:
    fukuokaseina
    My senbatsu prediction:
    1. Matsui Jurina
    2. Miyawaki Sakura
    3. Ogino Yuka
    4. Okada Nana
    5. Souda Sarina
    6. Suda Akari
    7. Yokoyama Yui
    8. Honma Hinata
    9. Shiroma Miru
    10. Muto Tomu
    11. Takahashi Juri
    12. Mukaichi Mion
    13. Yoshida Akari
    14. Nakai Rika
    15. Cherprang/Music
    16. Furuhata Nao

    My Hope:
    1. Honma Hinata
    2. Miyawaki Sakura
    3. Matsui Jurina
    4. Yoshida Akari
    5. Okada Nana
    6. Souda Sarina
    7. Ogino Yuka
    8. Yokoyama Yui
    9. Shiroma Miru
    10. Suda Akari
    11. Cherprang
    12. Furuhata Nao
    13. Takahashi Juri
    14. Nakai Rika
    15. Kato Rena
    16. Kojima Mako
     
    • Agree Agree x 2
  5. Silenka

    Silenka Future Girls Retired Staff

    Joined:
    Aug 9, 2012
    Location:
    USA
    Well I'm changing my prediction to Ogiyuka winning.
    No contest.
     
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  6. bannie

    bannie Kenkyuusei

    Joined:
    Jan 9, 2018
    Location:
    SG/HK
    Oshimen:
    shimazakiharuka
    • If you have a question or concern regarding forum policy, we have a thread for that. Vapid name-calling is not the answer.
    wow i just watched it live!
    pretty interesting first time for me

    shared the link but some selfish cocky mod took it down saying it was illegal!!!
    lol clown!

    oh well! im just really surprised #1 has probably more votes than any undergirl will get wow
     
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  7. Iizuka-Tengu

    Iizuka-Tengu Kenkyuusei

    Joined:
    Dec 16, 2017
    I don't think that is a safe bet at all.
    Last year there was big suspicion about her results because an extraordinarily high percentage of her votes were on day 1 (more than 2/3rds) and she didn't get comparatively much for the following 2 weeks. Even though her numbers are higher this year, they aren't extraordinarily higher in terms of percentage.

    So while we can now dispel the idea that last year's results were a hack-- I don't think there is any reason to believe we won't see a repeat of that 2/3rds of her votes being on day 1. The voting pattern of the same voters ought to remain consistent.

    It is very likely that this year will follow the same pattern.
     
    • Like Like x 2
  8. Trinu

    Trinu Under Girls

    Joined:
    Jul 30, 2010
    Location:
    Earth-616
    It's against the rules, so what did you expect?
    Also, I wouldn't insult those who can easily ban your ads. Just saying .

    Prediction after prelims:
    1. Jurina
    2. Ogiyuka
    3. Sakura
    4. Naachan
    5. Dasu
    6. Tomu
    7. Yui
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  9. oji-sama

    oji-sama Kenkyuusei

    Joined:
    Nov 15, 2015
    Oshimen:
    kuranoonarumi
    After prelims, I think Senbatsu will look like this:

    1. Matsui Jurina
    2. Ogino Yuka
    3. Miyawaki Sakura
    4. Okada Nana
    5. Takahashi Juri
    6. Suda Akari
    7. Yokoyama Yui
    8. Mukaichi Mion
    9. Muto Tomu
    10. Shiroma Miru
    11. Souda Sarina
    12. Yabuki Nako
    13. Furuhata Nao
    14. Tanaka Miku
    15. Yoshida Akari
    16. Matsumura Kaori

    17. Tano Ayaka
     
  10. bonjourmarlene

    bonjourmarlene Under Girls Wiki48 Editor

    Joined:
    Mar 21, 2016
    Location:
    UK-AUT
    Oshimen:
    小林蘭
    Twitter:
    curioushitomi
    My post-prelim prediction (very hopeful in some aspects) looks like this:

    1. Matsui Jurina
    2. Miyawaki Sakura
    3. Ogino Yuka
    4. Okada Nana
    5. Suda Akari
    6. Takahashi Juri
    7. Muto Tomu
    8. Yokoyama Yui
    9. Yabuki Nako
    10. Isshiki Rena
    11. Mukaichi Mion
    12. Arai Yuki
    13. Kato Minami
    14. Tano Ayaka
    15. Fukuoka Seina
    16. Obata Yuna
    17. Minegishi Minami
     
  11. Arbios

    Arbios Future Girls

    Joined:
    Jan 7, 2016
    Oshimen:
    Komiyama Haruka
    i still think hinnatan will make senbatsu
     
  12. bonjourmarlene

    bonjourmarlene Under Girls Wiki48 Editor

    Joined:
    Mar 21, 2016
    Location:
    UK-AUT
    Oshimen:
    小林蘭
    Twitter:
    curioushitomi
    Another thing I now dare to hope is Noepii making at least Undergirls. I've always considered her pretty underrated and her reaction to being called during the prelims was incredible<3
     
  13. oji-sama

    oji-sama Kenkyuusei

    Joined:
    Nov 15, 2015
    Oshimen:
    kuranoonarumi
    I hope NGT hakos were trolling us with the prelims and she does.
     
  14. SayaneeOshi

    SayaneeOshi Kenkyuusei

    Joined:
    Jun 3, 2015
    Oshimen:
    yamamotosayaka
    I don't mind OgiYuka winning. But last year, she received around 70% of her votes on day 1 alone, the remaining 30% over the following 14 days. It remains to be seen if this year is the same, if she received like 70-80% of her total votes on preliminary day.

    For now, my prediction for top 3 is:

    1. Jurina
    2. Sakura
    3. Ogino Yuka
     
  15. yousakura

    yousakura Member

    Joined:
    May 24, 2016
    Oshimen:
    yokoyamayuiteam8
    To be completely honest, I'm alright with Sakura not winning SSK if Jurina were to lose this to the frog princess Ogiyuka, because it's a highly safe bet that Sakura is aiming for the world wide audience through Produce48. I would be satisfied beyond compare.........
     
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  16. Third Child

    Third Child Kenkyuusei

    Joined:
    Nov 8, 2017
    Location:
    Kaer Morhen
    Oshimen:
    miyawakisakura
    Here's my prediction:

    1. Matsui Jurina
    2. Miyawaki Sakura
    3. Ogino Yuka
    4. Okada Nana
    5. Takahashi Juri
    6. Yokoyama Yui
    7. Suda Akari
    8. Shiroma Miru
    9. Muto Tomu
    10. Yabuki Nako
    11. Nakai Rika
    12. Mukaichi Mion
    13. Kato Minami
    14. Takayanagi Akane
    15. Yoshida Akari
    16. Obata Yuna

    17. Tanaka Miku
     
  17. wetpantsu

    wetpantsu Upcoming Girls

    Joined:
    Oct 16, 2017
    Ogiyuka is also a lot more popular now then she was last year. First day votes are from the hardcores.
     
  18. Apple

    Apple Kenkyuusei

    Joined:
    Apr 13, 2018
    Oshimen:
    shirashimai
    My prediction:

    1. Matsui Jurina
    2. Miyawaki Sakura
    3. Okada Nana
    4. Ogino Yuka
    5. Suda Akari
    7. Takahasihi Juri
    8. Muto Tomu
    9. Yokoyama Yui
    10. Yabuki Nako
    11. Mukaichi Mion
    12. Shiroma Miru
    13. Kato Minami
    14. Yoshida Akari
    15. Ishiki Rena
    16. Matsumura Kaori
     
  19. ColorfulMonsters48

    ColorfulMonsters48 Kenkyuusei

    Joined:
    Aug 27, 2015
    Location:
    Germany
    Oshimen:
    Okada Nana
    My prediciton changed as well:
    1. Matsui Jurina
    2. Ogino Yuka
    3. Miyawaki Sakura
    4. Okada Nana
    5. Suda Akari
    6. Yoshida Akari
    7. Takahashi Juri
    8. Yokoyama Yui
    9. Souda Sarina
    10. Honma Hinata
    11. Shiroma Miru
    12. Mukachi Mion
    13. Muto Tomu
    14. Yabuki Nako
    15. Kato Minami
    16. Ota Yuri
     
  20. Husky

    Husky Kenkyuusei

    Joined:
    Jun 12, 2015
    Location:
    Poland
    Oshimen:
    gotomoe
    My prediction:
    1. Ogino Yuka
    2. Miyawaki Sakura
    3. Matsui Jurina
    4. Okada Nana
    5. Takahashi Juri
    6. Suda Akari
    7. Mukaichi Mion
    8. Obata Yuna
    9. Yokoyama Yui
    10. Shiroma Miru
    11. Honma Hinata
    12. Yoshida Akari
    13. Mutou Tomu
    14. Yabuki Nako
    15. Arai Yuki
    16. Fukuoka Seina
    The reason for my prediction about first three girls:
    I think that OgiYuka fandom will go for more then the last year. She got a lot of attention after last sosenkyou and gained a lot of new fans. Also I think that people who hate Jurina or Sakura (and they have a lot of antis) will vote for her. NGT wotas surely have money so I think if they want to, they can make it.

    About Sakura - she has a lot of „busters” this year - saying it is her last sousenkyou, attention from Haruppi fanbase, center position in PD48. Then looking at the history of her ranks, she did better year by year, defenitly her fanbase is growing. Also her cuteness is „this type” that makes wotas fall hard, I mean spend a lot of money.

    Well, Jurina... I know that most people predict that she will be first, but I really doubt it. I have an impression that she didn’t gain a lot of new fans (Ogiyuka and Sakura do). Her reaction at prelims was really discouraging to vote for her too. Also, it seems that location and SKE anniversary didn’t influenced prelims results much (they might go for a later strike thou).
     
    Last edited: Jun 5, 2018

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