Event / Concert 37th Single Senbatsu Sousenkyo (2014/06/07)

(i edited my predictions after seeing the prelims)
my predictions:
member who will almost make it but ironically don't:
airi, jo, akiyoshi, abema, NakoMiku, chori, ami, wasamin, yuiri

upcoming girls:

80.murashige anna

79.kotani riho

78.yogi keira

77.uchiyama natsuki

76.kato yuuka

75.ishida haruka

74.isohara kyoka

73.ota yuuri

72.komiyama haruka

71.matsui sakiko

70.azuma rion

69.hirata rina

68.sato sumire

67.anai chihiro

66.motomura aoi

65.mukaichi mion




future girls:

64.aigasa moe

63.yamada mizuho

62.furuhata nao

61.iwatate sahoo

60.moriyasu madoka

59.umemoto madoka

58.matsuoka natsumi

57.umemoto madoka

56.takahashi juri

55.ogasawara mayu

54.tano yuka

53.ichikawa miori

52.kuramochi asuka

51.kitagawa ryoha

50.shibuya nagisa

49.jonishi kei



next girls:

48.yoshida akari

47.ikoma rina

46.nakagawa haruka

45.owada nana

44.ota aika

43.yabushita shu

42.

41.tomonaga mio

40.nishino miki

39.tashima meru

38.muto tomu

37.okada nana

36.kato rena

35.oya masana

34.fujie reina

33.futamura haruka



undergirls:

32.nagao mariya

31.kodama haruka

30.yagura fuuko

29.yamada nana

28.shiroma miru

27.kojima mako

26.umeda ayaka

25.takayanagi akane

24.furukawa airi

23.kimoto kanon

22.takajo aki

21.minegishi minami

20.kitahara rie

19.iriyama anna

18.shibata aya

17.kawaei rina




senbatsu:

16.suda akari

15.kizaki yuria

14.miyawaki sakura

13.miyazawa sae

12.matsumura kaori

11.watanabe miyuki

10.yokoyama yui

9.takahashi minami

8.kojima haruna

7.yamamoto sayaka

6.shimazaki haruka

5.matsui rena

4.kashiwagi yuki

3.matsui jurina

2.sashihara rino

1.watanabe mayu

 

remember...... akicha wotas are not to be underestimated after what happened at RH2014

Spoiler: i'll give you a hint

kimisuki ranked #5 and i don't think sasshi and mtsui rena wotas even give a f*** to this song

 

If the rumours that SKE wota are planning to powervote Ryoha this year are true, we could expect to see her as high as 17

 

Mainly 8, 16 and out of senbatsu from the best of my memory.

 

so if sasshi who was predicted to drop turned out to be the winner by a landslide last year, i think there's a fair chance to assume that she may not win this year. There were many factors that contributed to her win last year that are no longer applicable this year so I won't be surprised if someone else win or at the least, a decrease in her votes.

Then again, if sashi gets a 20K gap over #2 in the preliminaries, then she got it in the bag already.

 

Seems like even the staff is having issues with this :

 

They also put Yui video with NMB kennin in it

 

lol that, oh we are getting the SKE48's Team 4 .

 

Yuria will have an identity crisis after all this D:

 

Puffin holds her puffin in the Sousenkyo Appeal Speech

By now, only 3 members were able to break 10k Appeal Speech viewers. They are Takamina, Sayanee, and Paruru.

 

Nakkii is over 10k too.
(Yeah - she had a 12 hour headstart - but I'm not complaining)

 

Did Sayanee really eat that? x___x

Also, I was looking for the Maedas appeals in their channel and Acchan's video appeared (the one where she said she wouldn't run in the 2012 election).
Oh, my heart.

 

Right now
Sasshi, Sayanee, Yui, Takamina, Paruru passed 10k edit: ofcourse the first video Nakki as well
Sakura, Naachan, Meru, Kojiharu are really close to 10k like 9xxx

 

Sayanee and Takamina had the best videos imo. I watched every video, and most didn't make much of an impression. But I guess I'm the type who'd like to see a funny video more than a heartfelt plea for votes. There were definitely a few girls who talked very seriously about themselves. It's too bad that there were so few interesting videos though. I feel like that's one place where a lot of girls can really show off their particular quirks and sense of humor. Honorable mention to Chiyori, Nao, Kanakichi, and any girl who brought on live animals. (By the way, I am willing to translate any of the videos by request, PM me if you want).

I do find letting the Team 8 girls run for election (and therefore be given the chance to make appeal videos) a masterstroke though - this was a perfect way for each Team 8 girl to introduce herself in a way that many people will end up watching. It saves management the trouble of figuring out another way to introduce all the girls in a memorable way to the fans. It makes me think that this might have been the entire point of letting them run for election while not having done anything with the group.

 

Current Rankings of YouTube Views (as of 6:48AM JST):

20,000+ views:
1. Yokoyama Yui (22, 989)
2. Takahashi Minami (21,359)

10,000+ views:
3. Shimazaki Haruka (15, 459)
4. Yamamoto Sayaka (15, 311)
5. Sashihara Rino (14, 190)
6. Tashima Meru (13, 264)
7. Okada Nana (13, 176)
8. Kojima Haruna (12, 704)
9. Uchiyama Natsuki (12, 253)
10. Nakagawa Haruka (12, 003)
11. Watanabe Mayu (11, 041)
12. Matsui Rena (11, 005)
13. Ikoma Rina (10, 834)
14. Kashiwagi Yuki (10, 316)
15. Yamada Nana (10, 176)
16. Watanabe Miyuki (10, 106)
17. Kawaei Rina (10, 083)

This is the current rankings of the YouTube views of Election Appeal Speech videos as of 6:48 (Japan Time).

 

I'm thrilled that Tomu's video has a healthy amount of views! She's crushing Yagi and Mocchi

When Mocchi pulled out the letter, I was terrified that it was like a graduation announcement or something T_T

Yagi's diagram made me chuckle

 

I was talking about the person you were replying to, not the guys who made the predictions on the newspaper.

 

I'm going to do a full ranking with all the views per member this week (probably in the next weekend). In case you had this idea, don't do it!111 haha I did a Top 100 last year (if I remember correctly) but this year I'm doing the full thing It's a great way to measure popularity, even if it's influenced by some external things (Position in the playlist, time of the upload etc.).

 

You should put it in spoiler...and also triple posts

SKIP

The main issue for me is who will be the next SKE member that going to be powervoted? Last year it was Dasu
I'm not sure this year it will be Yuria (she definitely would be if there was no shuffle )
Ryoha? maybe


The ones who are unpredictable are Ikoma, Akicha, + one SKE member

 

No way SKE powervotes Yuria now that she's not SKE anymore. It's supposed to be Ryoha