Single Keyakizaka46 4th [Fukyouwaon] (2017/04/05)

Circulates in Twitter that they are spotted to be shooting for MV.
Also seems like i misunderstood and the one that's going to be revealed "tomorrow" / today is the mysterious shoot from Twitter

 

@naggi
As much as I agree on yours(And confused with him/her), it's just on the bigger picture, this is 1st round. There's no one SO in the recent Nogi 1st round for instance, which is perfectly normal. But Keyaki has 6...

Step your bias aside people, Keyaki has 6 SO on the first round!!

/mindblown

@too much idea
Snowy PV? This is Hakodate afterall.

 

@EinhanderX well in the end, group achievement is what we want to see isn't it? . And wow, thanks for info. I really dont have idea that nogi didnt SO yet.

 

Probably the second round will be important. You always secure the more popular in first round before going to other girls.

What counts is how fast you fill the handshakes slots.

 

@kanjo Fans what to know about member more and their biggest chance are at HS event. When fans think that they already know member enough, they will eventually switch to other member. But not necessary switch her oshi/fave member (this is how i see a lot from my friend who is wota)

That's how Nakagawa Haruka sold out her hs at beginning at JKT48 and eventually falling slowly (well, beside ssk and her last 2 hs event tho)

 

^
If that is the chase, it look like the management hold on a lil bit? Since they know that popular member will sold out eventualy, so they focus to other first

 

I didn't know they held on to some at times? lol

hmm akanen been so prominent and done well on shows lately I guess she doesn't click with japanese fans...

 

She's selling well and always manage to sold everything by the end. Her pace is just horrible

 

Lest wait for final sale then

 

Surprised that they didn't increase to 30slots. Waitng for the center change?
We probably won't see a jump in sales.
It wouldn't surprise me if it sells less than Saison, as this one won't have the Kouhaku bump.


Also a bit harsh on iguchi and takase, barely sold anything and now got pushed to 12slots..

 

I think there is nothing wrong being optimistic.
We see the signs that Hiragana are going to be promoted more, like the fashion collaboration announced today.

 

Ah yeah I forgot about Type D. Though I am not sure regular editions add up that much. I'd assume best case scenario are 40-50k max.
For the handshake, compared to the 15th round of 3rd, there are 33 slots more. That's a modest increase.
But you are right 30 slots might be overkill^^

So if at all it will probably be a small jump, like it happend with 1st to 2nd.

 

If 30 slot, what y'all rather have, another place for event or extend their time at existing place?

 

Right. It was Saitou Kyouko, not Saitou Fuyuka who sold out one slot last time but not this. Thanks for the correction. I don't understand it either way, to be honest.

Some fascinating combos: I would love to see Neru and Kyouko become close. Berisa + Takase Mana (stiff and awkward?). Techi + Mirei (two solid humans). Pon + Memi (two top members of their groups, but how will they get along?). Habu + Katoshi (an adult combo). Akanen + Mao (explosive!) Zuumin + Kage-chan (Kage will probably make this work and get closer to the mercurial talent; Kage is very smart).

I don't really want to see them expand from the current 24 to 30 lanes per handshake event (like Nogi), but I know they will. No lunch break, just the half-hour breaks after each of their four sessions. Maybe as they get more used to doing these events, they become easier and less tiring. But there is still usually at least one member who has to drop out, at least for a while.

I don't really understand why Nogi went from early sell-outs to fewer early sell-outs. It's mainly the idea that popularity is more evenly distributed, I guess. But does management hold back a greater number of slots? And if so, why?

 

^

If i were merchant and i have an item that whenever sale time it will eventualy sold out, then i will try to sell unpopular item first

Just my 2 cent

 

Lottery system?
Like, all members were given equal 1/n success rate at first. With the previous data of applicant number, the stakes were adjusted for every single.
The catch is first round is the round where number of applicant limitation is the highest as we all know it, while the stakes are applied for every round.
This also explain why some 3rd gen of Nogi sells too fast. They have default success rate with no previous data. Theoretically letting everyone win a tix.

Another 2 cent.