Event / Concert AKB48 41st Single Senbatsu Sousenkyo (June 6, 2015)

votes cost money, so there wont be major shifts in votes from one member to another

for sure most will have other girls they like, and some of the votes will have to go somewhere, those from mobile membership/dmm subs/"normal" amount of hs tickets/cd purchased etc
excessive voting/purchasing for anybody other then your #1 is too unrealistic

 

I don't think management will let Sasshi not take part in elections, it would be too big of a loss o__o

Even if she doesn't take part, I don't think it will make a difference for other HKT members. It's not like the fans who power-vote Sasshi would suddenly decide to power-vote other HKT members... Who would want to power-vote and spend all their money for a member who isn't their kami-oshi, and only because they're in the same group as their oshi... It doesn't make sense. and probably a good part of Sasshi's fans are "Sasshi-only" fans. As for those who have second / third oshis, I don't think it would always be HKT members. Just take a look at most fans online, usually the 1st oshi and 2nd oshi are unrelated, not many fans would take their oshi's best friend/same group member as their 2nd/3rd oshis just because "they're friends/in same group". I guess it could make a difference for the "HKT fans" who spread their votes though, but do these fans spread that much votes for Sasshi? Seeing as she has lots of support, maybe the HKT fans didn't even plan to give her that much in the first place and rather focus on less known girls. I guess...

@gocchisama Tomochin and Paruru did meet since Tomochin's graduation, but yes, not as much as Tomochin-Acchan/Takamina/Miichan/Tomomi. But well, although Tomochin and Paruru are close, they've been very close for like a year before her grad while those 1st-2nd gen members are childhood friends, they know each other since +10 years ago. So she is definitely a lot closer to them. Tomochin/Paruru are close too. However, I'm pretty sure Tomochin's fans didn't vote for Paruru, and if some of them did, they're a minority, and it's most likely because they like Paruru too ^-^

 

Excuse me, but I thought participation was voluntary. Seems kinda jacked if they let girls like Momoka not take part, but then force others, like Sasshi, to join in. If Sasshi wants not, then she will not. If she want in on it, then join she will. Same with any other girls. I am sure management will try to "encourage" all the girls to participate. But in the end they will leave it to the girl to decide for themselves. Besides, Sasshi has shown she is not one to do something because of being pressured to.

 

lol no way mgm will let 150k+ votes (or more like money for those votes) go bye bye, it's all about the money, Sasshi will 90% join unless she goes the "bye people, i'm leaving and you can kiss my 140k+ votes (money for them) goodbye from Acchan" route

 

^who ask them? it is her choise
but for me i prefer her to participate this year! i want her to win! i dont know if its me but after she lost to mayu i watch her in AKBs performances and she seems to be sad

 

If Sasshi doesn't participate this year, fans could save up money for next year's election (assuming she participates), but even if she doesn't, I'm sure some HKT members will get a bit of her votes.

Ironically, by not participating, her popularity may increase among non-wotas. Everybody in Japan knows about the Senbatsu, fans of 48 groups or not. Most have probably heard of Sasshi's big win, but if she doesn't participate two years later, imagine all of the news articles, tabloids, etc.
I'm not exactly sure if this is possible, its just my (most likely wrong) guess!

 

Except this has been proven to be a false assumption. Did the votes drop when the most popular member bow out of 48G? When the second most popular sat out? No, they did not either time. The single would still sell and the votes will still come in.

 

What incident are you referring to? I haven't been following the AKB group for that long.

 

Acchan's and Yuko's graduations.

 

Sales were down. Yet there were more votes.

And like you said. Sales have been slowing, unrelated to grads and sit-outs. I don't see them hurting all that much if Sasshi sat out. There is no evidence that it would have as big an impact as some have been suggesting.

And I don't see management forcing a girl to participate. No matter who it is.

 

Why? The most relevant 48 groups are all that matters.

I HOPE THIS IS TRUE.

If Sasshi doesn't take part, Yukirin, Sayanee and Jurina wotas are gonna go crazy. It's their chance to clinch the top spot.

 

Because it would be a waste of money to fly in all those members if they are not eligible for voting. I mean, they say they can't even bring all the HKT members for all the stops on their national tour.

If you aren't there to receive a rank, no taking part in the concert. Simple.

Beside there is always the obligatory summer tour.

 

Matsui Rena just announced on Twitter that she will not be participating in this year's elections.

 

HOLY SH*T

 

Ok, did not see that coming.

 

The predicitions is totally messed up now. Lmfao.

 

it's better than to see her rank drop slowly because she has kept a good record in sousenkyo until now.. who will rena's fans vote now?

 

That's her protest for being sent to Nogizaka.

 

Too bad. Was really looking forward to see her election poster